ANALYSIS OF INFLATION UNCERTAINTY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH UNDER CONDITIONS OF MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY IN UKRAINE

Mamasobirov Dilmurod Ernazarovich

Senior Lecturer at the International Islamic Academy of Uzbekistan

dilmurod.mamasobirov@mail.ru

ORCID: 0009-0000-5467-2812


Abstract. This article examines the relationship between inflation instability and economic growth in Ukraine. The study analyzes macroeconomic dynamics based on annual inflation rates and gross domestic product indicators of Ukraine for the period 2000–2024. The findings indicate that high volatility in inflation has a negative impact on economic growth. In particular, geopolitical crises, currency depreciation, external economic pressures, and war-related factors have intensified inflation instability and disrupted economic development. Based on the findings, practical recommendations are proposed to strengthen price stability, reduce exchange rate risks, improve the investment environment, and accelerate institutional reforms.

Key words: inflation, inflation instability, economic growth, gross domestic product, macroeconomic stability, Ukrainian economy, monetary policy, exchange rate, geopolitical risks.

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